League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
0 - 1
Exeter

Demetriou (71'), Willmott (83'), Norman (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dieng (72')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Rochdale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salford City	46	14	70
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Exeter City
44.17%	25.76%	30.08%

Both teams to score 53.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.36%

50.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.45%

72.55%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15%

22.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42%

56.58%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02%

30.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72%

67.28%

Score Analysis

Newport County 44.16%

Exeter City 30.08%

Draw 25.75%

Newport County	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.16%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.08%