Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 36% | 24.27% | 39.74% |
| Both teams to score 60.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.72% | 42.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% | 64.68% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% | 23.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% | 57.19% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% | 21.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% | 54.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% 1-0 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.21% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.74% |