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Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
2 - 1
Stevenage

Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage

Despite potentially receiving a new manager 'bounce' in Evans's first game in charge here, the visitors arrive at St James Park on the back of a poor winless streak and a challenging week following their COVID-19 outbreak. Factoring all of this in with Exeter's strong run of form and an excellent record over their visitors, all the signs are pointing towards a comfortable home win here to see the hosts strengthen their hold on an automatic promotion spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
61.83%22.24%15.93%
Both teams to score 46.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26%50.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36%72.64%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08%15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83%45.16%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 61.82%
    Stevenage 15.93%
    Draw 22.24%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.06%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.39%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 61.82%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.31%
1-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.93%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
96.3%
Draw
3.7%
Stevenage
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Jan 23, 2021 1pm
Exeter
3-1
Stevenage
Collins (10'), Jay (79'), Bowman (85')
List (81')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Williams (36'), Jay (81')
Kemp (79')
Digby (42'), Parrett (69'), Dabo (83'), Reading (90')
Jan 21, 2020 7pm
Exeter
3-0
Stevenage
Ajose (25'), Jay (30', 48')
Randall (15')

Lakin (8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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