League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 1
Stevenage

Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

Stevenage

Last Six:

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47
22	Barrow	46	-13	44

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Stevenage
61.83%	22.24%	15.93%

Both teams to score 46.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.26%

50.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36%

72.64%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08%

15.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.83%

45.16%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.34%

44.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.34%

80.66%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 61.82%

Stevenage 15.93%

Draw 22.24%

Exeter City	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.39% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.82%	1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.24%	0-1 @ 5.73% 1-2 @ 4.24% 0-2 @ 2.31% 1-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.93%