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Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
2 - 1
Stevenage

Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage

Despite potentially receiving a new manager 'bounce' in Evans's first game in charge here, the visitors arrive at St James Park on the back of a poor winless streak and a challenging week following their COVID-19 outbreak. Factoring all of this in with Exeter's strong run of form and an excellent record over their visitors, all the signs are pointing towards a comfortable home win here to see the hosts strengthen their hold on an automatic promotion spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
61.83%22.24%15.93%
Both teams to score 46.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26%50.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36%72.64%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08%15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83%45.16%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 61.82%
    Stevenage 15.93%
    Draw 22.24%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.06%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.39%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 61.82%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.31%
1-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.93%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
96.3%
Draw
3.7%
Stevenage
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Jan 23, 2021 1pm
Exeter
3-1
Stevenage
Collins (10'), Jay (79'), Bowman (85')
List (81')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Williams (36'), Jay (81')
Kemp (79')
Digby (42'), Parrett (69'), Dabo (83'), Reading (90')
Jan 21, 2020 7pm
Exeter
3-0
Stevenage
Ajose (25'), Jay (30', 48')
Randall (15')

Lakin (8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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