League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Sam Stubbs 28' goal
  • Sam Stubbs 44' goal
  • Josh Key 69' yellowcard
  • Pierce Sweeney 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Cuthbert 18'
  • goal Luke Norris 38'
  • yellowcard Bradley Barry 90'+4'

Exeter City vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale 0 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Matt Jay

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Stevenage 1 - 2 Northampton
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Luke Norris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result

Exeter City 61.83%
Draw 22.24%
Stevenage 15.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.53%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.26%
Under 2.5 50.74%
Over 3.5 27.36%
Under 3.5 72.64%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 84.08%
Under 0.5 15.91%
Over 1.5 54.83%
Under 1.5 45.16%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 55.34%
Under 0.5 44.66%
Over 1.5 19.34%
Under 1.5 80.66%

Score analysis

Exeter City 61.82%
Draw 22.24%
Stevenage 15.93%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 13.06%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.39%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 61.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.24%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.31%
1-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.93%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Elliott List 23' goal
  • Jake Taylor 57' yellowcard
  • Elliott List 59' goal
  • Scott Cuthbert 66' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nombe 10'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 29'
  • yellowcard Alex Hartridge 44'
  • yellowcard George Ray 47'
  • goal Matt Jay 50'
  • yellowcard Nigel Atangana 84'
League Two Gameweek 19
Feb 2, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Ben Coker 55' yellowcard
  • goal Rory McArdle 28'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 49'
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 23, 2021 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Archie Collins 10' goal
  • Matt Jay 79' goal
  • Ryan Bowman 85' goal
  • goal Elliott List 81'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Randell Williams 36' goal
  • Matt Jay 81' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Digby 42'
  • yellowcard Dean Parrett 69'
  • goal Dan Kemp 79'
  • yellowcard Diaguely Dabo 83'
  • yellowcard Paddy Reading 90'
EFL Trophy
Jan 21, 2020 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Joel Randall 15' yellowcard
  • Nicky Ajose 25' goal
  • Matt Jay 30' goal
  • Matt Jay 48' goal
  • yellowcard Charlie Lakin 8'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Soares 72' yellowcard
  • Arthur Iontton 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Randell Williams 12'
  • yellowcard Archie Collins 45'
  • goal Nicky Law 89'