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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 38.64% | 25.91% | 35.45% |
| Both teams to score 54.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.13% | 49.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% | 71.87% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.69% | 25.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.92% | 60.08% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% | 27.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.45% |