Port Vale

2 - 0

Stevenage

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.