Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Exeter City |
| 35.29% | 27.08% | 37.63% |
| Both teams to score 50.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% | 54.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% | 76.04% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% | 29.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% | 65.58% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% | 28.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% | 63.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.28% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.62% |