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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Newport County |
| 29.64% | 26.58% | 43.78% |
| Both teams to score 50.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% | 54.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% | 75.54% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.91% | 33.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.31% | 69.69% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.44% | 24.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.96% | 59.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 8.01% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.78% |