Exeter

3 - 1

Stevenage

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.