Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Exeter City in this match.