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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 53.95% | 24.56% | 21.49% |
| Both teams to score 49.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% | 52.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% | 73.96% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% | 19.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.94% | 51.06% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.89% | 39.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.18% | 75.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.94% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.09% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.49% |