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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
2 - 1
Newport

March (34'), Martin (66')
March (44'), Burrell (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gambin (17')
Shephard (73')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
31.53%27.72%40.75%
Both teams to score 47.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.22%57.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.48%78.51%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38%33.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73%70.27%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58%63.42%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 31.53%
    Newport County 40.74%
    Draw 27.71%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 7.11%
2-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.96%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 40.74%