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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 31.53% | 27.72% | 40.75% |
| Both teams to score 47.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.22% | 57.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% | 78.51% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% | 33.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% | 70.27% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% | 27.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% | 63.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.53% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 11.96% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.74% |