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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 45.24% | 26.66% | 28.09% |
| Both teams to score 49.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.84% | 55.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% | 76.4% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% | 24.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% | 58.67% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% | 34.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% | 71.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.15% Total : 28.09% |