League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2022 at 1pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 0
Colchester

Sparkes (32'), Zanzala (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coxe (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Forest Green Rovers	46	31	84
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80

Colchester United

Last Six:

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Bradford City	46	-2	58
15	Colchester United	46	-12	55
16	Walsall	46	-13	54

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 19.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Colchester United
56.18%	23.97%	19.85%

Both teams to score 48.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.19%

51.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.43%

73.57%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71%

18.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.64%

49.36%

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.44%

40.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.83%

77.16%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 56.17%

Colchester United 19.85%

Draw 23.96%

Exeter City	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 12.6% 2-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.26% Total : 56.17%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.96%	0-1 @ 6.69% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 3.02% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.25% Total : 19.85%