Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.