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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 39.4% | 28.53% | 32.07% |
| Both teams to score 45.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.45% | 60.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.35% | 80.65% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% | 29.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% | 66.04% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.3% | 34.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.57% | 71.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.48% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.21% Total : 32.06% |