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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 46.04% | 27.38% | 26.57% |
| Both teams to score 46.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.4% | 58.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.84% | 79.16% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% | 25.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% | 60.26% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% | 37.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.29% | 74.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.76% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 4% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.64% Total : 26.57% |