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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 23.81% | 25.23% | 50.96% |
| Both teams to score 49.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.75% | 74.25% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.93% | 37.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.15% | 73.85% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% | 20.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% | 53.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% 2-1 @ 5.95% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.55% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.73% Total : 23.81% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 12.07% 0-2 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-3 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 4.97% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.96% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.56% Total : 50.96% |