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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Barrow |
| 45.82% | 27.07% | 27.11% |
| Both teams to score 47.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.81% | 57.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.95% | 78.05% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% | 24.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% | 59.54% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% | 36.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% | 73.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.11% |