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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 48.94% | 26.71% | 24.34% |
| Both teams to score 46.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.33% | 57.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.58% | 78.42% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% | 23.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% | 57.74% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.6% | 39.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.9% | 76.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 13.43% 2-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 9.32% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.43% Total : 24.34% |