League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Gibson 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timi Odusina 51'

Carlisle United vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
Carlisle 1 - 1 Crawley
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Omari Patrick

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 2 - 0 Hartlepool
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Luke Molyneux

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Carlisle United 48.94%
Draw 26.71%
Hartlepool United 24.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.27%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.33%
Under 2.5 57.66%
Over 3.5 21.58%
Under 3.5 78.42%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 76.36%
Under 0.5 23.64%
Over 1.5 42.26%
Under 1.5 57.74%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 60.6%
Under 0.5 39.4%
Over 1.5 23.9%
Under 1.5 76.1%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 48.94%
Draw 26.71%
Hartlepool United 24.34%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 13.43%
2-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-0 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 9.32%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.71%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.34%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Aug 31, 2021 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Taylor Charters 11' goal
  • Manasse Mampala 59' goal
  • Manasse Mampala 67' yellowcard
  • Tristan Abrahams 78' goal
  • goal Matty Daly 18'
  • yellowcard Matty Daly 55'
  • goal Luke Molyneux 81'
  • goal Olufela Olomola 89'
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tyler Burey 13' goal
  • Gavan Holohan 69' goal
  • Gary Liddle 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 3'
  • goal Zach Clough 38'
  • yellowcard Callum Guy 67'
League Two
Apr 14, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Rhys Oates 64' goal
  • Liam Donnelly 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jabo Ibehre 7'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 19'
  • yellowcard Jamie Proctor 43'
  • yellowcard Jabo Ibehre 78'
  • yellowcard Jamie Devitt 85'
League Two
Oct 15, 2016 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jabo Ibehre 20' goal
  • Shaun Miller 29' yellowcard
  • Shaun Miller 56' redcard
  • Danny Grainger 63' yellowcard
  • Danny Grainger 68' goal
  • Michael Raynes 79' goal
  • goal Lewis Alessandra 66'
  • goal Padraig Amond 75'
League Two
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hallam Hope 55' goal
  • yellowcard Nicky Featherstone 94'
League Two
Aug 29, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott Harrison 6' goal
  • Billy Paynter 70' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Miller 41'
  • yellowcard Steven Rigg 56'
  • goal Jabo Ibehre 57'
  • yellowcard Jabo Ibehre 62'
  • yellowcard Troy Archibald-Henville 68'
  • yellowcard Jason Kennedy 70'
  • goal Tom Miller 76'
  • goal Jabo Ibehre 84'