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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 34.16% | 27.97% | 37.87% |
| Both teams to score 47.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.76% | 58.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.12% | 78.88% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% | 32.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.48% | 68.52% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% | 29.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% | 65.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 11.55% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.86% |