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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 48.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 48.56% | 26.49% | 24.95% |
| Both teams to score 47.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.55% | 56.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% | 77.45% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% | 23.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.76% | 57.23% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.83% | 38.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.07% | 74.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.95% |