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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
40.05% | 27.65% | 32.29% |
Both teams to score 48.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.65% | 57.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.83% | 78.17% |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% | 28.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.34% | 63.65% |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% | 32.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% | 69.43% |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 78 | 36 | 42 | 72 |
2 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 70 | 40 | 30 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 67 |
4 | MK Dons | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 49 | 14 | 67 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 64 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 61 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 57 |
8 | Walsall | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 56 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 56 |
10 | Gillingham | 39 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 56 |
11 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 58 | 0 | 55 |
12 | Morecambe | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 54 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 51 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 50 |
15 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 50 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 |
17 | Notts County | 37 | 14 | 6 | 17 | 72 | 72 | 0 | 48 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 46 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 44 |
20 | Salford City | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 44 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 39 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 33 |
23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 33 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 42 | 70 | -28 | 30 |
> League Two Full Table |