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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 40.05% | 27.65% | 32.29% |
| Both teams to score 48.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.65% | 57.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% | 78.17% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% | 28.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% | 63.65% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% | 32.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% | 69.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.29% |