Hartlepool United
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
Victoria Park
Bolton logo

Hartlepool
1 - 0
Bolton

Daly (84')
Grey (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thomason (76'), Santos (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Hartlepool United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
36.04%26.46%37.5%
Both teams to score 52.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86%52.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14%73.85%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16%27.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56%63.44%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66%62.34%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 36.04%
    Bolton Wanderers 37.5%
    Draw 26.45%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.61%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.04%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.5%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Bolton

Hartlepool United
55.6%
Draw
13.0%
Bolton Wanderers
31.5%
54