League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Accrington1 - 0Bolton
We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Bolton Wanderers
These two teams have been in very similar form and both enter this fixture on the back of defeats, suggesting that it is going to be a cagey affair as neither team will want to record consecutive losses. Bolton will be aware of their poor form away from home recently, and a point on the road this Saturday could be viewed as a good point to break the losing cycle on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 31.93% | 25.08% | 42.99% |
| Both teams to score 56.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
