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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 31.93% | 25.08% | 42.99% |
| Both teams to score 56.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% | 47.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% | 27.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% | 63.51% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% | 21.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% | 55.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.93% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.99% |