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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 44.71% | 25.77% | 29.52% |
| Both teams to score 52.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.06% | 50.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% | 72.81% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% | 22.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% | 56.39% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% | 31.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% | 67.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.52% |