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FA Cup

AFC Wimbledon
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Cheltenham Town

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 3
Cheltenham

Assal (36', 55'), Palmer (41', 65')
McCormick (80'), Woodyard (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
May (2'), Williams (73'), Heneghan (81' og.)
Hussey (80'), Norton (89'), Horton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham Town
40.11%25.04%34.85%
Both teams to score 57.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.93%46.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63%68.37%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16%22.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44%56.56%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43%60.57%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 40.11%
    Cheltenham Town 34.85%
    Draw 25.04%
AFC WimbledonDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.69%
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.39%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.85%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham

AFC Wimbledon
41.7%
Draw
41.7%
Cheltenham Town
16.7%
12
rhs 2.0


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