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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 59.02% | 24.17% | 16.81% |
| Both teams to score 42.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.46% | 56.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% | 77.53% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% | 19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.44% | 50.56% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.04% | 46.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.55% | 82.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 14.81% 2-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 5.15% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.95% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.79% Total : 59.01% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.75% 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.55% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.22% Total : 16.81% |