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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 50.93% | 25.57% | 23.5% |
| Both teams to score 48.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% | 54.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% | 75.58% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% | 21.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% | 54.23% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.78% | 38.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.01% | 74.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.5% |