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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 37.73% | 26.56% | 35.7% |
| Both teams to score 52.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% | 52.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% | 74.24% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% | 27.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% | 62.44% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% | 28.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% | 63.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.7% |