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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 32.25% | 26.58% | 41.16% |
| Both teams to score 51.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% | 53.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% | 74.81% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% | 30.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% | 67.07% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.65% | 60.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2% Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.25% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.16% |