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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Gillingham |
| 37.23% | 28.68% | 34.09% |
| Both teams to score 45.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.23% | 60.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.18% | 80.82% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% | 31.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% | 67.73% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% | 33.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% | 70.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.08% |