League One

League One | Gameweek 8

Sep 18, 2021 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Bostwick (10' og.), Lloyd-Bennett (87')
Murphy (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lakin (3'), Borthwick-Jackson (31'), Hemmings (42')
Lakin (67')

Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Burton Albion.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Burton Albion
31.13%	27.46%	41.4%

Both teams to score 48.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.05%

56.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.15%

77.85%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53%

33.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.89%

70.11%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92%

27.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55%

62.45%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 31.13%

Burton Albion 41.4%

Draw 27.45%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.13%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 11.84% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.4%