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AFC Wimbledon
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Portsmouth

AFC Wimbledon
5 - 3
Portsmouth

Kalambayi (2'), Presley (43', 80' pen.), Nightingale (87'), McCormick (90+4')
Lawrence (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Harrison (45+4', 52', 78')
Mnoga (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between AFC Wimbledon and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
24.46%24.05%51.49%
Both teams to score 54.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77%47.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54%69.46%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45%33.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81%70.19%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66%18.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55%49.45%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 24.46%
    Portsmouth 51.48%
    Draw 24.04%
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.72%
2-1 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.46%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.85%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-3 @ 5%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 51.48%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Portsmouth

AFC Wimbledon
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Portsmouth
40.0%
20
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Portsmouth
Pigott (23')
Pigott (15'), Dobson (19'), Alexander (37')
Curtis (24'), Brown (45', 45+4')
Curtis (38')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Portsmouth
4-0
AFC Wimbledon
Marquis (28'), Williams (36'), Raggett (44'), Close (89')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Portsmouth
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Harness (20'), Marquis (79')
Cannon (70')
Pigott (62')
Reilly (72'), Wagstaff (74'), O'Neill (90')
Wagstaff (84')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Portsmouth
Thomas (93')
Wagstaff (88')

Brown (35'), Marquis (40'), Raggett (83')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Portsmouth
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Lowe (8'), Curtis (80')
Curtis (80')
Appiah (75')
Wordsworth (55')
rhs 2.0
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