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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 62.29% | 22.92% | 14.79% |
| Both teams to score 42.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.84% | 55.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.6% | 76.4% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% | 17.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% | 47.66% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.12% | 83.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 14.84% 2-0 @ 13.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 5.45% 4-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.95% 5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.21% Total : 62.29% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 3.33% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 6.05% 1-2 @ 3.8% 0-2 @ 2.17% 1-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 14.79% |