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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Gillingham |
39.38% | 26% | 34.61% |
Both teams to score 54.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% | 50.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% | 72.3% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% | 25.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.16% | 59.83% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% | 27.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.55% | 63.45% |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 75 | 39 | 36 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 86 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 44 | 24 | 11 | 9 | 81 | 48 | 33 | 83 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 80 |
5 | Barnsley | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 79 | 60 | 19 | 75 |
6 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 44 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 76 | 54 | 22 | 73 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 44 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 71 |
8 | Blackpool | 44 | 20 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 70 |
9 | Stevenage | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 67 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 62 |
11 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 17 | 8 | 19 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 59 |
12 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 58 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 58 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 44 | 16 | 9 | 19 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 57 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 56 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 11 | 19 | 14 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 52 |
17 | Reading | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 47 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 46 |
20 | Burton Albion | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 36 | 62 | -26 | 43 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 41 |
22 | Port Vale | 44 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 40 |
23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 45 | 72 | -27 | 37 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |