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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 29.01% | 25.02% | 45.97% |
| Both teams to score 55.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% | 48.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% | 70.23% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% | 30.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% | 66.62% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% | 20.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% | 53.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% 2-1 @ 7.05% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 4.83% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.97% |