Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match.