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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 59.77% | 22.08% | 18.15% |
| Both teams to score 51.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.52% | 46.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% | 68.76% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% | 15.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.26% | 43.74% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.64% | 39.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.94% | 76.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 6.23% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.76% | 1-1 @ 10.49% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.56% 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.15% |