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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 29.87% | 27.27% | 42.86% |
| Both teams to score 48.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.34% | 56.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% | 77.62% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% | 34.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.05% | 70.95% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% | 26.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% | 61.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 12.01% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.85% |