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League One

AFC Wimbledon
League One | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
Portsmouth

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Pigott (23')
Pigott (15'), Dobson (19'), Alexander (37')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Curtis (24'), Brown (45', 45+4')
Curtis (38')
Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Portsmouth.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
28.77%26.12%45.11%
Both teams to score 51.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27%52.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63%74.37%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98%33.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39%69.61%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7%23.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75%57.25%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 28.77%
    Portsmouth 45.1%
    Draw 26.11%
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.77%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 9.05%
0-2 @ 8.16%
1-3 @ 4.39%
0-3 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.1%

rhs 2.0


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