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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
40.49% | 27.82% | 31.69% |
Both teams to score 47.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.89% | 58.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.22% | 78.77% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.87% | 28.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% | 63.8% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.31% | 33.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% | 70.34% |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.49% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 39 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 63 | 32 | 31 | 83 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 39 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 74 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 74 | 46 | 28 | 71 |
5 | Barnsley | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 70 | 48 | 22 | 71 |
6 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 62 | 52 | 10 | 63 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 61 |
8 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 61 |
9 | Blackpool | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 60 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 58 |
11 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 50 |
12 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 50 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 50 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 50 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 47 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 45 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 13 | 5 | 21 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 44 |
18 | Reading | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 42 |
19 | Burton Albion | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 39 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 39 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 35 |
22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
23 | Port Vale | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 33 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 23 |
> League One Full Table |