League One Gameweek 42
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Joe Pigott 20' goal
  • Will Nightingale 26' goal
  • Ayoub Assal 44' goal
  • Joe Pigott 54' goal
  • Shane McLoughlin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 20'
  • yellowcard Jordan Lyden 26'
  • yellowcard Brett Pitman 45'+2'
  • goal Tyler Smith 79'

AFC Wimbledon vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2021 6.30pm
AFC Wimbledon 3 - 0 Ipswich
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Joe Pigott

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2021 7.00pm
Rochdale 2 - 1 Swindon
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Brett Pitman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 40.49%
Draw 27.82%
Swindon Town 31.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.66%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.89%
Under 2.5 58.11%
Over 3.5 21.22%
Under 3.5 78.77%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 71.87%
Under 0.5 28.12%
Over 1.5 36.19%
Under 1.5 63.8%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.31%
Under 0.5 33.68%
Over 1.5 29.66%
Under 1.5 70.34%

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 40.49%
Draw 27.81%
Swindon Town 31.68%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.81%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.68%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Jordan Stevens 19' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Pigott 28'
  • yellowcard Shane McLoughlin 66'
League One
Apr 14, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Tom Soares 24'
  • yellowcard George Francomb 41'
  • yellowcard Paul Robinson 50'
League One
Oct 15, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Robinson 30' yellowcard
  • Dean Parrett 62' yellowcard
  • Dannie Bulman 68' yellowcard
  • Darius Charles 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yaser Kasim 32'
  • yellowcard Conor Thomas 69'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 79'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Vigouroux 89'
League Two
Jan 2, 2012 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Caddis 58' goal
  • Aden Flint 68' yellowcard
  • Alan Connell 76' goal
League Two
Nov 19, 2011 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sam Hatton 6' goal
  • Jack Midson 22' yellowcard
  • Chris Bush 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Ridehalgh 29'
  • goal Alan Connell 73'
  • yellowcard Paul Caddis 89'