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Championship header 2

League One

AFC Wimbledon
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 17, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
Swindon Town

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 1
Swindon

Pigott (20' pen., 54'), Nightingale (26'), Assal (44')
McLoughlin (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Smith (79')
Grounds (20'), Lyden (26'), Pitman (45+2')
Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
40.49%27.82%31.69%
Both teams to score 47.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.89%58.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22%78.77%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87%28.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19%63.8%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31%33.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66%70.34%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 40.49%
    Swindon Town 31.68%
    Draw 27.81%
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.68%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Swindon

AFC Wimbledon
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Swindon Town
16.7%
6
rhs 2.0


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