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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 46.5% | 26.11% | 27.39% |
| Both teams to score 50.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.55% | 53.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% | 74.97% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% | 22.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.26% | 56.74% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% | 34.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% | 71.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.39% |