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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burton Albion in this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 28.29% | 27.18% | 44.53% |
| Both teams to score 47.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% | 57.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% | 77.9% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% | 35.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% | 72.43% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% | 25.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% | 60.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 12.42% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.53% |