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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 41.3% | 26.19% | 32.52% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% | 51.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.64% | 73.35% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% | 24.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.8% | 59.2% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% | 29.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% | 65.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.29% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.52% |