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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 49.32% | 24.44% | 26.24% |
| Both teams to score 54.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% | 47.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% | 69.62% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% | 19.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.01% | 50.99% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% | 32.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.34% | 68.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.03% 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.63% Total : 26.24% |