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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 34.11% | 27.67% | 38.21% |
| Both teams to score 48.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% | 57.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% | 78.01% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% | 31.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.09% | 67.91% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% | 28.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% | 64.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.21% |