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AFC Wimbledon
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
Northampton Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Northampton

Pigott (88')
Woodyard (74'), Palmer (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNorthampton Town
34.11%27.67%38.21%
Both teams to score 48.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.86%57.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99%78.01%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48%31.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09%67.91%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14%64.86%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 34.11%
    Northampton Town 38.21%
    Draw 27.67%
AFC WimbledonDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.11%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 11.31%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.21%