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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 29.27% | 27.55% | 43.17% |
| Both teams to score 47.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.07% | 57.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% | 78.63% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% | 35.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% | 72.14% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% | 26.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% | 61.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 6.73% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.06% Total : 29.27% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 12.46% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 8.26% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.02% Total : 43.17% |