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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 47.41% | 25.97% | 26.61% |
| Both teams to score 50.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.62% | 53.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% | 74.91% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% | 22.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% | 56.08% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% | 35.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.19% | 71.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.01% Total : 47.4% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.61% |