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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 40.49% | 26.49% | 33.02% |
| Both teams to score 52.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.3% | 52.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% | 74.33% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% | 25.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% | 60.48% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% | 30.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.87% | 66.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.48% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.02% |