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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 65.19% | 20.37% | 14.44% |
| Both teams to score 48.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.18% | 45.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% | 68.14% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.74% | 13.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.95% | 40.05% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.27% | 43.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.09% | 79.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-0 @ 11.83% 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.97% 3-1 @ 6.59% 4-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.73% 5-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.85% Total : 65.18% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 0-0 @ 5.8% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.8% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.12% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.44% |