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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 42.83% | 26.28% | 30.88% |
| Both teams to score 51.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% | 52.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% | 74.14% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% | 24.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% | 58.67% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% | 31.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% | 67.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.83% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.88% |